{ "changes": {}, "data_quality_todos": [ { "category": "manual_review", "detail": "Poland \u2013 Electrocardiography devices \u2013 Dostawa wyposa\u017cenia do Katedry Fizjologii i Patofizjologii Cz\u0142owieka Wydzia\u0142u Lekarskiego (dostawa aparatu EKG na w\u00f3zku jezdnym - 2 sztuki, dostawa spirometru - 5 sztuk i pompy kalibracyjnej \u2013 1 sztuka, dostawa analizatora hematologicznego \u2013 2 sztuki) - 92: manual review required before recommendation can be trusted." }, { "category": "manual_review", "detail": "Czechia \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 Sestava pro p\u0159\u00edpravu polymern\u00edch materi\u00e1l\u016f v tavenin\u011b a charakterizaci jejich zpracovatelsk\u00fdch vlastnost\u00ed: manual review required before recommendation can be trusted." }, { "category": "manual_review", "detail": "Germany \u2013 Mass spectrometer \u2013 Massenspektrometer: manual review required before recommendation can be trusted." }, { "category": "manual_review", "detail": "Sweden \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 NAT - Instrument och Reagenser: manual review required before recommendation can be trusted." }, { "category": "manual_review", "detail": "Romania \u2013 Analysis apparatus \u2013 Nefelometru integrator: manual review required before recommendation can be trusted." } ], "driver_join": { "candidates_total": 199, "candidates_with_basket_hint": 199, "generated_at": "2026-05-04T21:48:06.419217+00:00", "inputs": { "alias_map_path": "configs/joins/basket_aliases.yaml", "candidates_paths": [ "data/weekly/ted_candidates_2026-05-04.json", "data/weekly/doe_candidates_2026-05-04.json" ], "driver_pressure_path": "data/weekly/pm_driver_pressure_2026-05-04.json", "hint_map_path": "configs/polymarket/basket_hint_map.yml" }, "join_rate": 1.0, "join_rate_threshold": 0.2, "joined_rows": 199, "matched_tenders": 199, "missing_input_paths": [], "ok": true, "pressure_r2_keys": [], "pressure_rows_total": 4, "pressure_source": "override", "reasons": { "canon_mismatch": 199, "missing_basket_hint": 0, "missing_in_pressure": 0, "pressure_missing": 0 }, "run_date": "2026-05-04", "sample_failed_keys": [], "status": "OK", "top_drivers": [ { "basket_name": "europe_escalation", "headroom": 0.0, "oi_raw": 8559547.5677 }, { "basket_name": "sanctions_export_controls", "headroom": 0.0, "oi_raw": 6786322.6288 }, { "basket_name": "aviation_security", "headroom": 0.0, "oi_raw": 37322.1738 } ] }, "driver_radar": [ { "basket_name": "europe_escalation", "headroom_delta_7d": null, "headroom_oi_weighted": 1.0, "oi_percentile": 1.0, "oi_raw": 8559547.5677, "quadrant": "Act now" }, { "basket_name": "sanctions_export_controls", "headroom_delta_7d": null, "headroom_oi_weighted": 0.9498, "oi_percentile": 0.6667, "oi_raw": 6786322.6288, "quadrant": "Low urgency" }, { "basket_name": "aviation_security", "headroom_delta_7d": null, "headroom_oi_weighted": 0.1008, "oi_percentile": 0.3333, "oi_raw": 37322.1738, "quadrant": "Ignore" } ], "drivers": [ { "basket_name": "europe_escalation", "basket_oi_sum": 8559547.56766, "basket_pressure": 1.0, "top_markets": [ { "condition_id": "0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739", "market": "0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739", "oi": 5547270.04403, "value": 5547270.04403 }, { "condition_id": "0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d", "market": "0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d", "oi": 1875480.516854, "value": 1875480.516854 }, { "condition_id": "0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803", "market": "0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803", "oi": 586351.888266, "value": 586351.888266 }, { "condition_id": "0x495e6b49e7397bb4e6f8ce69e246ccb33b744678bd9bf88cbecbd3a113b05423", "market": "0x495e6b49e7397bb4e6f8ce69e246ccb33b744678bd9bf88cbecbd3a113b05423", "oi": 294363.710981, "value": 294363.710981 }, { "condition_id": "0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30", "market": "0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30", "oi": 217508.523053, "value": 217508.523053 } ] }, { "basket_name": "sanctions_export_controls", "basket_oi_sum": 6786322.628834, "basket_pressure": 0.9638, "top_markets": [ { "condition_id": "0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4", "market": "0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4", "oi": 5712510.531563, "value": 5712510.531563 }, { "condition_id": "0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584", "market": "0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584", "oi": 484020.313393, "value": 484020.313393 }, { "condition_id": "0xb215decbedd846168842f6e207f09bd5f50ce51d2191f238887d976ec21b6f66", "market": "0xb215decbedd846168842f6e207f09bd5f50ce51d2191f238887d976ec21b6f66", "oi": 436040.939568, "value": 436040.939568 }, { "condition_id": "0x4bd2d6744cfb40bd33520963069947643140e9facccec0b44d1e61944aa96997", "market": "0x4bd2d6744cfb40bd33520963069947643140e9facccec0b44d1e61944aa96997", "oi": 117716.18388, "value": 117716.18388 }, { "condition_id": "0xb1d2cd56624ec8bb3d8115d50d503d0e8578bf32d754ad5fe3c0e08a73186c57", "market": "0xb1d2cd56624ec8bb3d8115d50d503d0e8578bf32d754ad5fe3c0e08a73186c57", "oi": 15634.71724, "value": 15634.71724 } ] }, { "basket_name": "aviation_security", "basket_oi_sum": 37322.173762, "basket_pressure": 0.1529, "top_markets": [ { "condition_id": "0x1a65d4eb8ac985309e78b48906291fffbf137cee590d8d75365f77a0549e9ab9", "market": "0x1a65d4eb8ac985309e78b48906291fffbf137cee590d8d75365f77a0549e9ab9", "oi": 17807.549881, "value": 17807.549881 }, { "condition_id": "0x6e7f9ca2cf14c89b5c43186b391636fe3257b6e54561af8435690c8e558a7739", "market": "0x6e7f9ca2cf14c89b5c43186b391636fe3257b6e54561af8435690c8e558a7739", "oi": 10503.723565, "value": 10503.723565 }, { "condition_id": "0x0a1b551058f78174cf64ed9d61edb103a76c4df88232ee1188dbc9e390896e7d", "market": "0x0a1b551058f78174cf64ed9d61edb103a76c4df88232ee1188dbc9e390896e7d", "oi": 5793.026549, "value": 5793.026549 }, { "condition_id": "0x2a4d3cf51d27425b0c51d241a7ba6bc44dd27034b44f9e437624f9e0953b1ea9", "market": "0x2a4d3cf51d27425b0c51d241a7ba6bc44dd27034b44f9e437624f9e0953b1ea9", "oi": 2293.278529, "value": 2293.278529 }, { "condition_id": "0x7f6dadade6357d3ce6681860d002bd3521554aba8b5acda912917b3db41c9549", "market": "0x7f6dadade6357d3ce6681860d002bd3521554aba8b5acda912917b3db41c9549", "oi": 855.323823, "value": 855.323823 } ] }, { "basket_name": "border_pressure", "basket_oi_sum": 13994.005983, "basket_pressure": 0.0, "top_markets": [ { "condition_id": "0x49686d26fb712515cd5e12c23f0a1c7e10214c7faa3cb0a730aabe0c33694082", "market": "0x49686d26fb712515cd5e12c23f0a1c7e10214c7faa3cb0a730aabe0c33694082", "oi": 9198.867968, "value": 9198.867968 }, { "condition_id": "0x22ac5f75af18fdb453497fbf7ac0606a09a6fd55b78b2d08aace6b946ad62038", "market": "0x22ac5f75af18fdb453497fbf7ac0606a09a6fd55b78b2d08aace6b946ad62038", "oi": 1341.297897, "value": 1341.297897 }, { "condition_id": "0xaf9d0e448129a9f657f851d49495ba4742055d80e0ef1166ba0ee81d4d594214", "market": "0xaf9d0e448129a9f657f851d49495ba4742055d80e0ef1166ba0ee81d4d594214", "oi": 1300.915425, "value": 1300.915425 }, { "condition_id": "0x2393ed0b0fdc450054c7b9071907eca75cf4fc36e385adf4a0a5f99ee62243e8", "market": "0x2393ed0b0fdc450054c7b9071907eca75cf4fc36e385adf4a0a5f99ee62243e8", "oi": 1167.138704, "value": 1167.138704 }, { "condition_id": "0xc55db914f0fd1fee18997706712c0dfd8d0369cdbef93a9fef12bd001914ca77", "market": "0xc55db914f0fd1fee18997706712c0dfd8d0369cdbef93a9fef12bd001914ca77", "oi": 302.780628, "value": 302.780628 } ] } ], "generated_at": "2026-05-04T00:00:00Z", "generated_at_display_utc": "2026-05-04 00:00 UTC", "generated_tz": "UTC", "join_quality": { "by_basket_hint": [ { "basket_hint": "other", "gamma_markets_n": null, "oi_markets_n": null, "oi_markets_with_value": null, "oi_total": null, "pm_basket_pressure": null, "pm_present": false, "reason": "missing_in_pm", "ted_rows": 20, "ted_rows_driver_pressure_gt0": 20 } ], "counts": { "joined_baskets": 0, "pm_baskets": 4, "pm_only_baskets": 4, "pressure_zero_with_oi_gt0": 0, "rows_driver_pressure_gt0": 20, "rows_missing_basket_hint": 0, "rows_total": 20, "rows_with_basket_hint": 20, "ted_baskets": 1, "ted_only_baskets": 1 }, "generated_at": "2026-05-04T00:00:00Z", "missing_reason_totals": { "OK": 0, "mapping_mismatch": 0, "missing_gamma_map": 0, "missing_in_pm": 1, "missing_oi": 0, "pressure_zero": 0 }, "run_date": "2026-05-04", "schema_version": 1 }, "join_trend": { "latest_run_date": "2026-01-22", "schema_version": 1, "series": [ { "run_date": "2026-01-22", "with_driver_pressure_share": 0.25 } ] }, "quality_note": "", "quality_status": "ok", "recommendations": [ { "action_reason": null, "action_reason_code": null, "action_reason_codes": null, "buyer_name": "UNIWERSYTET WARMI\u0143SKO-MAZURSKI W OLSZTYNIE", "capability_tags": [], "competition_provenance": null, "competition_proxy_known": null, "competition_proxy_reason": null, "competition_proxy_type": null, "competition_proxy_value": null, "deadline": "2026-05-05", "deadline_best": null, "deadline_best_ts": null, "decision_statement": "Watch: Poland \u2013 Electrocardiography devices \u2013 Dostawa wyposa\u017cenia do Katedry Fizjologii i Patofizjologii Cz\u0142owieka Wydzia\u0142u Lekarskiego (dostawa aparatu EKG na w\u00f3zku jezdnym - 2 sztuki, dostawa spirometru - 5 sztuk i pompy kalibracyjnej \u2013 1 sztuka, dostawa analizatora hematologicznego \u2013 2 sztuki) - 92", "docs_status": null, "docs_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289145-2026/html", "docs_url_best": null, "driver_slugs": [], "evidence_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289145-2026/html", "geo_bucket": "POL", "notice_family_key": null, "notice_id": null, "operator_next_step": null, "recommended_action": "Watch", "risk_driver_tags": [], "score": 0.6, "tender_id": "289145-2026", "ticket_id": "289145-2026", "title": "Poland \u2013 Electrocardiography devices \u2013 Dostawa wyposa\u017cenia do Katedry Fizjologii i Patofizjologii Cz\u0142owieka Wydzia\u0142u Lekarskiego (dostawa aparatu EKG na w\u00f3zku jezdnym - 2 sztuki, dostawa spirometru - 5 sztuk i pompy kalibracyjnej \u2013 1 sztuka, dostawa analizatora hematologicznego \u2013 2 sztuki) - 92" }, { "action_reason": null, "action_reason_code": null, "action_reason_codes": null, "buyer_name": "\u00dastav makromolekul\u00e1rn\u00ed chemie AV \u010cR, v. v. i.", "capability_tags": [], "competition_provenance": null, "competition_proxy_known": null, "competition_proxy_reason": null, "competition_proxy_type": null, "competition_proxy_value": null, "deadline": "2026-05-11", "deadline_best": null, "deadline_best_ts": null, "decision_statement": "Watch: Czechia \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 Sestava pro p\u0159\u00edpravu polymern\u00edch materi\u00e1l\u016f v tavenin\u011b a charakterizaci jejich zpracovatelsk\u00fdch vlastnost\u00ed", "docs_status": null, "docs_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289630-2026/html", "docs_url_best": null, "driver_slugs": [], "evidence_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289630-2026/html", "geo_bucket": "CZE", "notice_family_key": null, "notice_id": null, "operator_next_step": null, "recommended_action": "Watch", "risk_driver_tags": [], "score": 0.6, "tender_id": "289630-2026", "ticket_id": "289630-2026", "title": "Czechia \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 Sestava pro p\u0159\u00edpravu polymern\u00edch materi\u00e1l\u016f v tavenin\u011b a charakterizaci jejich zpracovatelsk\u00fdch vlastnost\u00ed" }, { "action_reason": null, "action_reason_code": null, "action_reason_codes": null, "buyer_name": "Universit\u00e4tsklinikum K\u00f6ln A\u00f6R", "capability_tags": [], "competition_provenance": null, "competition_proxy_known": null, "competition_proxy_reason": null, "competition_proxy_type": null, "competition_proxy_value": null, "deadline": "2026-05-08", "deadline_best": null, "deadline_best_ts": null, "decision_statement": "Watch: Germany \u2013 Mass spectrometer \u2013 Massenspektrometer", "docs_status": null, "docs_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289656-2026/html", "docs_url_best": null, "driver_slugs": [], "evidence_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289656-2026/html", "geo_bucket": "DEU", "notice_family_key": null, "notice_id": null, "operator_next_step": null, "recommended_action": "Watch", "risk_driver_tags": [], "score": 0.6, "tender_id": "289656-2026", "ticket_id": "289656-2026", "title": "Germany \u2013 Mass spectrometer \u2013 Massenspektrometer" }, { "action_reason": null, "action_reason_code": null, "action_reason_codes": null, "buyer_name": "Adda Ink\u00f6pscentral AB", "capability_tags": [], "competition_provenance": null, "competition_proxy_known": null, "competition_proxy_reason": null, "competition_proxy_type": null, "competition_proxy_value": null, "deadline": "2026-05-10", "deadline_best": null, "deadline_best_ts": null, "decision_statement": "Watch: Sweden \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 NAT - Instrument och Reagenser", "docs_status": null, "docs_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289730-2026/html", "docs_url_best": null, "driver_slugs": [], "evidence_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/289730-2026/html", "geo_bucket": "SWE", "notice_family_key": null, "notice_id": null, "operator_next_step": null, "recommended_action": "Watch", "risk_driver_tags": [], "score": 0.6, "tender_id": "289730-2026", "ticket_id": "289730-2026", "title": "Sweden \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 NAT - Instrument och Reagenser" }, { "action_reason": null, "action_reason_code": null, "action_reason_codes": null, "buyer_name": "INSTITUTUL NATIONAL DE CERCETARE-DEZVOLTARE PENTRU OPTOELECTRONICA - INOE 2000", "capability_tags": [], "competition_provenance": null, "competition_proxy_known": null, "competition_proxy_reason": null, "competition_proxy_type": null, "competition_proxy_value": null, "deadline": "2026-04-24", "deadline_best": null, "deadline_best_ts": null, "decision_statement": "Watch: Romania \u2013 Analysis apparatus \u2013 Nefelometru integrator", "docs_status": null, "docs_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/292211-2026/html", "docs_url_best": null, "driver_slugs": [], "evidence_url": "https://ted.europa.eu/en/notice/292211-2026/html", "geo_bucket": "ROU", "notice_family_key": null, "notice_id": null, "operator_next_step": null, "recommended_action": "Watch", "risk_driver_tags": [], "score": 0.6, "tender_id": "292211-2026", "ticket_id": "292211-2026", "title": "Romania \u2013 Analysis apparatus \u2013 Nefelometru integrator" } ], "run_date": "2026-05-04", "schema_version": "1.0.0", "shipbar": { "enforced_status": "unknown", "observed_status": "unknown", "reason": "receipt_not_found", "receipt_path": "reports/evidence/tmp/self_b2_shipbar/date=2026-05-04/receipt.json", "run_date": "2026-05-04", "warnings": 0 }, "sources": { "driver_join_receipt": "reports/evidence/tmp/driver_pressure_join/date=2026-05-04/receipt.json", "driver_pressure": "data/weekly/pm_driver_pressure_2026-05-04.json", "join_quality": "reports/ci/pm_ted_join_quality/date=2026-05-04/join_quality.json", "join_trend": "reports/ci/pm_ted_join_quality/index.json", "shipbar_receipt": "reports/evidence/tmp/self_b2_shipbar/date=2026-05-04/receipt.json", "shortlist": "public/2026-05-04/ted_shortlist.json", "shortlist_diff": "public/2026-05-04/ted_shortlist_diff.json" }, "summary": { "days_requested": 1, "days_used": 0, "items_considered": 20, "items_selected": 5, "window_end": "2026-05-04", "window_start": "2026-05-04" }, "top_opportunities_with_why": [ { "title": "Poland \u2013 Electrocardiography devices \u2013 Dostawa wyposa\u017cenia do Katedry Fizjologii i Patofizjologii Cz\u0142owieka Wydzia\u0142u Lekarskiego (dostawa aparatu EKG na w\u00f3zku jezdnym - 2 sztuki, dostawa spirometru - 5 sztuk i pompy kalibracyjnej \u2013 1 sztuka, dostawa analizatora hematologicznego \u2013 2 sztuki) - 92 (UNIWERSYTET WARMI\u0143SKO-MAZURSKI W OLSZTYNIE)", "why": "deadline=2026-05-05; action=WATCH; action_reason_codes=manual_review_required; why=manual_review_required" }, { "title": "Czechia \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 Sestava pro p\u0159\u00edpravu polymern\u00edch materi\u00e1l\u016f v tavenin\u011b a charakterizaci jejich zpracovatelsk\u00fdch vlastnost\u00ed (\u00dastav makromolekul\u00e1rn\u00ed chemie AV \u010cR, v. v. i.)", "why": "deadline=2026-05-11; action=WATCH; action_reason_codes=manual_review_required; why=manual_review_required" }, { "title": "Germany \u2013 Mass spectrometer \u2013 Massenspektrometer (Universit\u00e4tsklinikum K\u00f6ln A\u00f6R)", "why": "deadline=2026-05-08; action=WATCH; action_reason_codes=manual_review_required; why=manual_review_required" }, { "title": "Sweden \u2013 Laboratory, optical and precision equipments (excl. glasses) \u2013 NAT - Instrument och Reagenser (Adda Ink\u00f6pscentral AB)", "why": "deadline=2026-05-10; action=WATCH; action_reason_codes=manual_review_required; why=manual_review_required" }, { "title": "Romania \u2013 Analysis apparatus \u2013 Nefelometru integrator (INSTITUTUL NATIONAL DE CERCETARE-DEZVOLTARE PENTRU OPTOELECTRONICA - INOE 2000)", "why": "deadline=2026-04-24; action=WATCH; action_reason_codes=manual_review_required; why=manual_review_required" } ] }